Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000007 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013
2025-02-09 0.000006 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000031
2025-03-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000036
2025-03-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000042
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000025 0.000047
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027 0.000054
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000060
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000016 0.000031 0.000069
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000035 0.000084
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000038 0.000097
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000042 0.000115
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000045 0.000134
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000019 0.000048 0.000152
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000051 0.000171
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000055 0.000199
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000060 0.000236
2025-06-22 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000063 0.000261
2025-06-29 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000067 0.000297
2025-07-06 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000022 0.000069 0.000326